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    <title>Probability on Stefano Chiodino</title>
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      <title>Conjunction fallacy</title>
      <link>https://stefano.chiodino.uk/posts/2020-04-23-conjunction-fallacy/</link>
      <pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2020 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <guid>https://stefano.chiodino.uk/posts/2020-04-23-conjunction-fallacy/</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;Conjunction fallacy occurs when it is assumed that specific conditions are more probable than a single general one.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Source: Rationality Course&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Via: Harvard&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;URL: 45 minutes in &lt;a href=&#34;https://harvard.hosted.panopto.com/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=a780e65f-e1d0-47a2-97c4-ab3b0140edfb&#34;&gt;https://harvard.hosted.panopto.com/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=a780e65f-e1d0-47a2-97c4-ab3b0140edfb&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
      <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Conjunction fallacy occurs when it is assumed that specific conditions are more probable than a single general one.</p>
<p>Source: Rationality Course</p>
<p>Via: Harvard</p>
<p>URL: 45 minutes in <a href="https://harvard.hosted.panopto.com/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=a780e65f-e1d0-47a2-97c4-ab3b0140edfb">https://harvard.hosted.panopto.com/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=a780e65f-e1d0-47a2-97c4-ab3b0140edfb</a></p>
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      <title>Probability can be subjective</title>
      <link>https://stefano.chiodino.uk/posts/2020-04-22-probability-can-be-subjective/</link>
      <pubDate>Wed, 22 Apr 2020 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <guid>https://stefano.chiodino.uk/posts/2020-04-22-probability-can-be-subjective/</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;If I flip a coin and look at the result in secret, being heads, then the chances that it&amp;rsquo;s heads it&amp;rsquo;s 100% for me, but 50% for everybody else.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Source: Rationality Course&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Via: Harvard&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;URL: 32 minutes in &lt;a href=&#34;https://harvard.hosted.panopto.com/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=a780e65f-e1d0-47a2-97c4-ab3b0140edfb&#34;&gt;https://harvard.hosted.panopto.com/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=a780e65f-e1d0-47a2-97c4-ab3b0140edfb&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
      <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If I flip a coin and look at the result in secret, being heads, then the chances that it&rsquo;s heads it&rsquo;s 100% for me, but 50% for everybody else.</p>
<p>Source: Rationality Course</p>
<p>Via: Harvard</p>
<p>URL: 32 minutes in <a href="https://harvard.hosted.panopto.com/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=a780e65f-e1d0-47a2-97c4-ab3b0140edfb">https://harvard.hosted.panopto.com/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=a780e65f-e1d0-47a2-97c4-ab3b0140edfb</a></p>
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